Yellow phosphorous is a critical industrial chemical with applications spanning fertilizers, flame retardants, semiconductors, and specialty chemicals. Understanding the Yellow Phosphorous price trend analysis is essential for stakeholders across industries. This article delves into the recent price movements, growth forecasts, demand-supply dynamics, and profiles of leading global suppliers.
👉 👉 👉 Please Submit Your Query for Yellow Phosphorus price trend, forecast and market analysis: https://www.price-watch.ai/contact/
Yellow Phosphorous Market CAGR and Growth Forecast
The global yellow phosphorous market is projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.59% through 2029. This growth is driven by increasing agricultural activities, advancements in chemical engineering, and the rising demand from the electronics sector. Technological advancements in extraction methods and the integration of digital technologies in agriculture are further propelling market expansion.
Yellow Phosphorous Price Trend Analysis
Q1 2024
- China: Prices declined from approximately $3,308 per metric ton in January to $3,223 per metric ton in March. This decrease was attributed to high inventory levels and sluggish economic recovery post-pandemic.
- India: Prices remained relatively stable, starting at $4,275 per metric ton in January and slightly decreasing to $4,259 per metric ton by March. The stability was due to balanced supply and demand dynamics.
Q2 2024
- China: Prices saw an increase, reaching $3,939 per metric ton by June. This rise was driven by strong demand from downstream sectors and supply disruptions caused by unplanned plant closures due to natural disasters.
- India: Prices remained steady at $4,259 per metric ton in March and June, reflecting stable market conditions and consistent demand from the fertilizer sector.
Q3 2024
- China: Prices continued to rise, reaching $3,415 per metric ton by September. The upward trend was influenced by export restrictions and increased demand from the semiconductor industry.
- India: Prices experienced minor fluctuations, starting at $4,070 per metric ton in July and slightly decreasing to $4,066 per metric ton in September. The fluctuations were due to balancing domestic supply and demand.
Q4 2024
- China: Prices declined to $3,186 per metric ton by December. The decrease was attributed to weak demand from the phosphorus chloride and phosphoric acid sectors, high inventory levels, and favorable supply conditions in the region.
- India: Prices remained stable at $4,085 per metric ton in December, supported by steady demand from the fertilizer and semiconductor sectors.
Q1 2025
- China: As of early 2025, prices were approximately $3,193 per metric ton. The stability was due to balanced supply and demand dynamics and consistent production levels.
- India: Prices were reported at $4,259 per metric ton in March, indicating a steady market with no significant fluctuations.
Yellow Phosphorous Market Outlook and Demand-Supply Dynamics
The demand for yellow phosphorous is primarily driven by the fertilizer industry, which accounts for a significant portion of global consumption. Other sectors, such as electronics and flame retardants, also contribute to the demand. Supply dynamics are influenced by factors such as production capacity, environmental regulations, and geopolitical events. For instance, environmental policies in China have led to the closure of several phosphorus production facilities, thereby reducing supply and pushing prices upward.
Key Influential Factors Impacting Yellow Phosphorous Prices
- Production Costs: The production of yellow phosphorous is highly energy-intensive, requiring large amounts of electricity. As energy prices rise, the cost of producing yellow phosphorous increases, leading to higher prices for the end product.
- Raw Material Availability: The availability of high-grade phosphorite reserves is crucial for yellow phosphorous production. Dwindling reserves can lead to supply constraints and price increases.
- Regulations: Stricter environmental regulations can impact production levels. For instance, China’s environmental policies have led to the closure of several phosphorus production facilities, reducing supply and pushing prices upward.
- Supply Chain Shifts: Disruptions in the supply chain, such as natural disasters or geopolitical tensions, can lead to supply shortages and price volatility.
Top Yellow Phosphorous Suppliers Across Regions
Leading global suppliers of yellow phosphorous include:
- China: The largest producer and exporter of yellow phosphorous, with companies like Sichuan Linhe Industrial Group and Leshan Jinguang Chemicals dominating the market.
- India: Key players include Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd and Deepak Fertilizers and Petrochemicals Corporation Ltd.
- Vietnam: Notable suppliers include Ha Bac Fertilizer and Chemicals Company.
- United States: Companies like OCP Group and Mosaic Co. are significant contributors to the market.
These suppliers play a crucial role in meeting the global demand for yellow phosphorous, with their production capacities and market strategies influencing price trends and supply dynamics.
Regional Overview of the Yellow Phosphorous Market
- Asia-Pacific: China and India are the dominant producers, with Vietnam also playing a significant role. The region faces challenges such as environmental regulations and supply chain disruptions.
- Europe: The market has seen a notable decline in prices, driven by factors such as elevated energy prices, environmental policies, and inflationary pressures. Demand from downstream industries, including phosphoric acid and fertilizer production, has remained tepid.
- North America: The market in North America is relatively stable, with the United States playing a key role in supply. However, the ongoing impact of inflation and energy prices has put pressure on production costs.
- Latin America: The market remains relatively small but is growing, driven by increasing agricultural activities and the adoption of yellow phosphorous in fertilizers.
- Middle East & Africa: Limited production capacity exists in the region, with import reliance driving price sensitivity. However, the demand for fertilizers and industrial chemicals is increasing, spurring imports of yellow phosphorous.
Final Words
The Yellow Phosphorous price trend analysis reveals that the market remains dynamic, with fluctuations driven by factors such as production costs, raw material availability, regulatory pressures, and global demand shifts. As we move into 2025, prices are expected to remain relatively stable, but geopolitical and supply chain disruptions could trigger volatility. Understanding these trends is crucial for businesses, investors, and stakeholders who rely on yellow phosphorous for various industrial applications. For more information on the Yellow Phosphorous market, visit the Wikipedia page.
Also Read: Petroleum Coke Price Trend Analysis: Forecast, Demand, Supply & Top Global Suppliers